Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.010945 0.013292 0.016257 0.020374 0.026106 0.034079 0.046554
2024-10-13 0.007746 0.010178 0.013638 0.019193 0.028501 0.044885 0.080290
2024-10-20 0.006302 0.008704 0.012397 0.018963 0.031624 0.058846 0.140293
2024-10-27 0.005634 0.008125 0.012230 0.020254 0.038078 0.086023 0.309581
2024-11-03 0.005193 0.007772 0.012290 0.021933 0.046581 0.131772 0.897410
2024-11-10 0.004851 0.007499 0.012394 0.023733 0.057059 0.210346 4.656270
2024-11-17 0.004396 0.006939 0.011811 0.023737 0.062521 0.288307 49.153831
2024-11-24 0.003990 0.006402 0.011153 0.023318 0.066420 0.380470 NaN
2024-12-01 0.003546 0.005733 0.010100 0.021533 0.063831 0.412677 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003220 0.005253 0.009376 0.020448 0.063596 0.480755 NaN
2024-12-15 0.003010 0.004972 0.009037 0.020363 0.067999 0.665110 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002881 0.004834 0.008993 0.021145 0.077826 1.154299 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002694 0.004584 0.008710 0.021301 0.086230 2.125124 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002454 0.004201 0.008062 0.020087 0.085220 2.841409 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002292 0.003965 0.007728 0.019844 0.091059 5.654458 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002222 0.003911 0.007832 0.021221 0.112993 53.948264 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002170 0.003888 0.008012 0.023015 0.146189 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002121 0.003866 0.008188 0.024942 0.192494 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002015 0.003703 0.007952 0.024947 0.214063 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001907 0.003525 0.007643 0.024498 0.227909 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001768 0.003266 0.007070 0.022587 0.207485 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001661 0.003072 0.006669 0.021429 0.201279 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001591 0.002961 0.006492 0.021338 0.219136 NaN NaN